Shocking Johns Hopkins COVID-19 Study is Deleted?

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Shocking Johns Hopkins COVID-19 Study is Deleted
Image credit to Wiki Media. Image modified from original.

According to Genevieve Briand, the assistant program director of the Applied Economics master’s degree program at Johns Hopkins University, the impact of COVID-19 on deaths in the United States can be understood by comparing it to the number of total deaths in the country.

According to the study published by Johns Hopkins University on November 22, “in contrast to most people’s assumptions, the number of deaths by COVID-19 is not alarming. In fact, it has relatively no effect on deaths in the United States.”

Unsurprisingly, the study was deleted within days.

Thanks to some quick thinking, a back-up copy remains on The Wayback Machine, and we can still read the study.

According to the study, COVID-19 has had “relatively no effect on deaths” because:

After retrieving data on the CDC website, Briand compiled a graph representing percentages of total deaths per age category from early February to early September, which includes the period from before COVID-19 was detected in the U.S. to after infection rates soared.

Surprisingly, the deaths of older people stayed the same before and after COVID-19. Since COVID-19 mainly affects the elderly, experts expected an increase in the percentage of deaths in older age groups. However, this increase is not seen in the CDC data. In fact, the percentages of deaths among all age groups remain relatively the same.

According to Briand, “The reason we have a higher number of reported COVID-19 deaths among older individuals than younger individuals is simply that every day in the U.S. older individuals die in higher numbers than younger individuals.”

Briand’s analysis found that the range of deaths amongst the older population has remained within the range of past years. So, if COVID-19 has actually had no significant impact on deaths in the United States, why does it not appear that way?

To answer that question, Briand shifted her focus to the deaths per causes ranging from 2014 to 2020. There is a sudden increase in deaths in 2020 due to COVID-19. This is no surprise because COVID-19 emerged in the U.S. in early 2020, COVID-19-related deaths increased drastically afterward.

Analysis of deaths per cause in 2018 revealed that the seasonal increase in the total number of deaths resulted from the rise in deaths by all causes, with the top three being heart disease, respiratory diseases, influenza, and pneumonia.

“This is true every year,” explained Briand. “Every year in the U.S., when we observe the seasonal ups and downs, we have an increase in deaths due to all causes.”

The study found that “This trend is completely contrary to the pattern observed in all previous years.” In fact, “the total decrease in deaths by other causes almost exactly equals the increase in deaths by COVID-19.”

After her analysis, Briand concluded that the COVID-19 death toll in the United States is misleading and that deaths from other diseases are categorized as COVID-19 deaths even though they aren’t.

On Thursday, Johns Hopkins University explained that they deleted the article on the study because it “was being used to support false and dangerous inaccuracies about the impact of the pandemic.”





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