No one ever knows what goes on in Biden’s brain, and this time is no exception. Instead of trying to win back the supporters in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, Biden chose to call them closet racists.
Though the polls still show that Biden has a substantial national lead over Trump, New York Times’ journalist Giovanni Russonello sees a dangerous gap between the level of support that Biden could receive as compared to the Democrats’ win in 2018.
Some of those who supported the Democrats in 2016 have been slow to give their support to Biden.
A study released by the Pew Research Center provides another confirmation that what Russonello said was true. The Democrats had won the midterms because they managed to turn out the vote. The party-switching from the voters was minimal. The only thing that changed was that Hillary Clinton was no longer on the ballot.
If the Democrats had chosen someone with more charisma to run as President, studies show that they might have beaten Trump. In fact, anyone with a better plan of action would have been better than Biden.
People under 30 accounted for more than one-third of those who voted in 2018 but did not vote in 2016. The problem is, Biden is nowhere near popular among the young people.
According to the latest Quinnipiac University poll, Biden’s favorability rating is negative five points among likely voters under 35.
Though he still has some hope, as the young voters appear to be fond of Trump even less. The younger generation are no longer interested in sitting out another presidential election.
We all know how Biden has been performing at key demos, speeches, interviews, and events. Russonello wrote, “Biden’s falling off the pace in key demos, which might end up creating the same problem.”
According to the study made by the Pew Research Center, the polls from last month show that Biden was winning in the suburbs by 25 points. But this week, a Marist poll in Pennsylvania shows that Biden was winning by 19 points. That’s 6 points less than just last month.
Perhaps Biden had a good shot at winning, but that was before all the riots broke out in cities all over the US with no clear sign of stopping.
The “peaceful” protests that have only gotten worse as time passed are doing nothing to help the Democrats and Biden’s shot at winning. The unrest has spread to suburbs and cities nearby, and the Democrats’ response will definitely impact how the next poll turns out.
In 2016, Hillary Clinton had a good shot at winning the Presidential race. She had a huge advantage with her budget, and was lucky enough to run against a candidate who wasn’t difficult to dislike.
However, she chose to go down a thorny path by running a national-messaging campaign rather than do what was necessary to secure a huge turnout. Despite that, Clinton still had a shot as Trump also didn’t like doing the necessary retail politicking to generate turnout. He preferred to do rallies to make the people enthusiastic, then use targeted ads to make up for the lack in ground effort.
This time, Trump and the Republicans have learned their lessons and are focusing on retail politicking rather than the rallies as they did four years ago. Meanwhile, Biden has not put any effort into a ground game.
Similar to Hillary Clinton four years ago, Biden has been doing nothing but national messaging. He occasionally visits states where the polls show he might have trouble, but otherwise, he’s been stuck in his basement for most of his campaign.
If Russonello is correct about Biden’s supporters in the suburbs, he shouldn’t be heading out to Minnesota next week, since it’s a state he should already have in his bag. The fact is, he is heading out to Minnesota next week.
That clearly shows: Rusonello is right that Biden and the Democrats should be worried. But about how much and why they should worry? Well, let’s hope that that’s something we won’t see for ourselves.
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